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Once close enough for an acquisition, Stripe and Airwallex are now going after each other

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Jack Zhang was 34 years old, three and a half years into running a startup, and sitting across from one of the most powerful investors in Silicon Valley. Michael Moritz of Sequoia had invited him to his home — a place with, Zhang recalls, a couple of floors and a view straight to the Golden Gate Bridge — to make the case for selling.

Stripe wanted to buy Airwallex for $1.2 billion. At the time, the Melbourne company had around $2 million in annualized revenue. The math was almost pretty irresistable: a revenue multiple somewhere near 600 times. Patrick Collison, Moritz argued, was a generational founder. The deal would “compound” into something extraordinary. Zhang listened. He walked around San Francisco for two weeks, restless, unable to think straight. At one point, he said yes.

Then he flew nearly 8,000 miles back home.

“I really went deep on what motivates me to build Airwallex,” he said early this week, speaking to this editor from overseas. “I was three and a half years into the business. The business was growing 100 times in 2018. And I only just sort of tasted what it [was like] to be an entrepreneur. And that’s what I’d been dreaming about.”

Two of his three co-founders had voted against the deal, which helped. But he says the clearest signal came from looking at the whiteboard back in his office. The vision was still there, unfinished: to build the financial infrastructure that lets any business operate anywhere in the world as if it were a local company.

That decision is looking increasingly prescient. Airwallex now claims more than $1.3 billion in annualized revenue and is growing at 85% year-over-year. It processes approaching $300 billion in annualized transaction volume. None of it has come easily — and Zhang argues that’s precisely the point.

It’s a conviction that runs a lot deeper than business strategy. Zhang grew up in Qingdao, a port city in northeastern China, and moved to Melbourne at 15 without his parents, barely speaking English, living with a host family. When his family’s finances collapsed, he took on four jobs to get through a computer science degree at the University of Melbourne, according to the Australian Financial Review — bartending, washing dishes, working graveyard shifts at a petrol station, picking lemons on a farm in the school holidays, which he has called the hardest job he ever had. He went on to spend years writing trading code in the front office of an Australian investment bank, a job that paid well and never felt “deeply fulfilling.”

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Before Airwallex, he started roughly 10 businesses: a magazine at age 14, a real estate development company, import-export operations running wine and olive oil from Australia to Asia, textiles going the other direction, a burger chain.

He was running a Melbourne coffee shop when the idea for Airwallex took shape. While trying to pay coffee bean suppliers in Brazil, Indonesia, and Guatemala, his co-founder Max Li kept watching payments disappear into correspondent banking systems — flagged and frozen by American intermediary banks enforcing OFAC sanctions rules, sometimes bouncing back weeks after they were sent. “That pushed me to really look at how correspondent banking works,” Zhang said, “how SWIFT works, and how we could build our own global money movement network.”

That’s still the idea, just scaled up considerably. Airwallex now holds close to 90 financial licenses across 50 markets. Zhang estimates Stripe has roughly half that number at best. Getting those licenses has been immensely time consuming — in Japan alone, the process took seven years. In some emerging markets, the company had to acquire shell companies whose licenses were no longer being issued by central banks, then rebuild the technology underneath them entirely.

“You can’t really vibe-code an integration with Mexico’s central bank,” Zhang said. “We have to have a secure room — you have to do a biometric scan just to walk in to access the central bank integration.”

The point of holding these licenses isn’t regulatory window dressing. In Japan, for instance, Stripe and Square can process payments, but they’re required to immediately transfer funds out to the merchant’s bank account. Airwallex, with its fund transfer operator license, can hold those funds inside its ecosystem. That means a customer can issue bank accounts, issue cards, and spend money without it ever leaving the platform.

The foreign exchange economics alone are substantial: a U.S. merchant settling transactions in Australian dollars avoids the 2% to 3% conversion fee that processors like Stripe typically charge to move money back into U.S. dollars — and can use those local balances to pay local vendors, run payroll, and cover digital marketing expenses, all at interbank rates.

“You don’t really operate like a U.S. company anymore,” Zhang said. “You operate like a company with entities around the world, but without needing to physically set up those entities.”

The slow build was intentional, and Zhang has a framework for it that he returns to often: the “path of maximum resistance.” Every license, every bank integration, every local payment rail that Airwallex painstakingly assembled created a layer that makes it harder to compete against. “It took us six and a half years to get to $100 million in annual recurring revenue,” Zhang said. “But after that, it took just over three years to get to a billion.”

The competitive logic, in his telling, comes down to something basic about what it means to own infrastructure versus riding someone else’s. If you don’t control the end-to-end payment workflow and something goes wrong, you can’t access the underlying data to explain it to your customer. You can’t extend new products cleanly on top of someone else’s stack. “Building on top of other infrastructure,” he said, “is simply not scalable.”

For most of its life, Airwallex and Stripe have mostly operated in different geographies, selling to different buyers. That’s changing. As Stripe pushes deeper into international markets, and Airwallex makes its first serious moves into the United States, the overlap is growing.

The buyer for Airwallex has historically been the CFO’s office in Australia and Southeast Asia, where the company is already well-established — finance directors, treasury teams — which puts it in a different sales motion than Stripe, whose customer acquisition has been driven largely by U.S. developers choosing a default starting point for a new company. More than 90% of Airwallex customers land first on a business account product, and payments and spend management follow from there. Over half are using multiple products, says Zhang.

Still, there are challenges that Zhang doesn’t try to downplay. The biggest may be that Stripe is Silicon Valley’s golden child, its privately held shares having minted millionaires across the tech industry. Another is the accompanying brand gap. Airwallex needs to embed itself in the thinking of engineers and developers — not just finance teams — so that founders reach for it instinctively. “Our brand is just not there yet,” he said. “That’s a harder competition to win.”

It’s a competition being watched closely from a variety of vantage points. Sequoia backed Airwallex early — though the deal was sourced through Sequoia Capital China, which has since spun out and rebranded as Hongshan — and remains one of the company’s largest shareholders. The investment firm Greenoaks Capital holds stakes in both companies, too. Zhang shrugged off any suggestion of awkwardness around those overlapping cap tables. The investors, he noted, are betting on a large market.

Still, it brings up the valuation question. Stripe was valued at $159 billion in a February tender offer — up 74% from a year earlier — after processing $1.9 trillion in total payment volume in 2025. Airwallex, assigned an $8 billion valuation in December, is valued at roughly a twentieth of that. But according to Zhang, Stripe’s payment volume is only about six times Airwallex’s, not 20 times. At 85% annual growth and projecting $2 billion in revenue within the next year, Airwallex is closing the revenue gap faster than the valuation gap would suggest.

Whether the market eventually notices is a different question — one that an IPO, which Zhang says is at least three to five years away, would force into the open.

In the meantime, Zhang says he’s focused on longer-horizon targets: a million customers by 2030, $20 billion in annual revenue, average revenue per customer growing from around $12,000 to $13,000 today to roughly $20,000. A suite of AI-powered autonomous finance products — agents that don’t just surface data but actually execute transactions — is rolling out now. The thesis is that a decade of financial data across the entire corporate finance stack, from revenue collection to treasury management to vendor payments and expenses, has created a training set that no competitor can replicate overnight, he suggests.

Now to see if all that hard work is enough to eat into Stripe’s market share. For now, the competition seems to be playing out at a distance. Zhang and Collison were never friends, but they were friendly while merger talks were ongoing years ago. Last year, Zhang and Collison were both at Greenoaks Capital’s annual gathering. They didn’t speak.

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Ex-APC Spokesman Urges Tinubu to Quit 2027 Race After Mosque Protest

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Former Deputy National Publicity Secretary of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Timi Frank, has called on President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to withdraw from the 2027 presidential election following the protest that greeted him at a mosque in Abuja.

Frank said the incident at the Shehu Shagari Central Mosque in Area 1, Garki, Abuja, should serve as a warning to the President about the level of dissatisfaction among some Nigerians over his administration.

He urged Tinubu to reconsider his second-term ambition rather than proceed with the election despite what he described as growing public opposition to his government.

The former APC chieftain also advised the President to ensure that the 2027 general election is free, fair and credible, insisting that Nigerians should be allowed to determine who leads the country through their votes.

Frank made the remarks following an incident on Friday, November 13, when some worshippers and youths reportedly expressed their displeasure with Tinubu shortly after he observed Juma’at prayers at the mosque.

Videos from the incident showed some individuals booing the President and chanting “Ba ma yi”, a Hausa expression meaning “we don’t want you”, as his convoy prepared to leave the premises.

Crowd Shouts 'Bamayi' at Tinubu, Throws Stones at His Convoy in Abuja
Crowd Shouts ‘Bamayi’ at Tinubu, Throws Stones at His Convoy in Abuja

The protest attracted attention after footage circulated on social media.

There were also reports of individuals removing and destroying campaign posters and billboards bearing Tinubu’s image in parts of the Area 1 neighbourhood.

Nonetheless, while condemning the decision to express political grievances during a religious gathering, Frank acknowledged the efforts of the President’s security team in protecting him and preventing the situation from escalating.

However, he maintained that the reaction from some worshippers should not be ignored or dismissed as an isolated incident.

According to him, the President needs to understand the political situation in the country and pay attention to the feelings of ordinary Nigerians rather than depend entirely on assurances from political associates.

“The rejection was total and unmistakable. No Nigerian president has been embarrassed like this publicly. The way Nigerians rejected him speaks volumes. But should he decide to go ahead and he loses, he should be prepared to accept defeat just like former President Goodluck Jonathan did,” Frank said.

He further questioned the level of support Tinubu reportedly enjoys in the Federal Capital Territory, arguing that the incident at the mosque raised questions about claims made by some political figures concerning the President’s popularity in Abuja.

Frank suggested that there was a difference between the assurances political associates gave Tinubu and the political realities outside government circles.

He warned that some individuals around the President might be giving him an inaccurate picture of public opinion because of their personal interests.

“I am giving him this advice because I genuinely want him to listen to the truth. Those around him may not be telling him that he has become very unpopular and that continuing in the presidential race may be a difficult undertaking,” he said.

The former APC spokesman maintained that Tinubu should seriously consider stepping aside from the 2027 contest instead of allowing political pressure from his associates to determine his decision.

Frank also questioned the confidence expressed by some political leaders about their ability to deliver substantial votes for the President in the next election.

Nyesom Wike
Nyesom Wike

He specifically mentioned FCT Minister Nyesom Wike and Edo State Governor Monday Okpebholo, questioning whether the electoral figures reportedly promised by political allies would reflect the actual choices of voters.

He argued that promises to secure 80 per cent of the votes in Abuja and 2.5 million votes in Edo State should not be taken as a guarantee of electoral victory.

According to him, political leaders should understand that making promises on behalf of voters is different from securing their support at the polling units.

Frank also referred to reactions witnessed in Abuja and Jos following political activities involving the ruling party.

He argued that such developments should encourage Tinubu to reassess the level of support his administration commands.

He further alleged that some individuals within the APC and the President’s political circle were more concerned about personal financial benefits than providing honest assessments of the government’s performance.

The former party official also brought opposition figures, including former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and former Anambra State Governor Peter Obi, into the discussion.

He claimed that the reception given to the opposition leaders during their public appearances showed that Nigerians were increasingly interested in alternative political options ahead of the next general election.

Frank argued that the crowds received by the opposition figures were an indication that political support could not always be measured through organised rallies and the number of people mobilised by political parties.

“Wherever these opposition leaders go, Nigerians come out in large numbers to receive them without being induced with rice or money. Their reception should tell the President something about the mood of the country,” he said.

He maintained that the Tinubu administration should take public reactions seriously, particularly as political activities ahead of the 2027 elections continue to gather momentum.

Frank also linked the dissatisfaction he alleged to the economic difficulties confronting Nigerians.

He mentioned rising food prices, hunger, unemployment, insecurity and the increasing cost of living as some of the challenges affecting households across the country.

According to him, the difficulties experienced by ordinary citizens have contributed to the criticism directed at the Federal Government.

He argued that the administration needed to pay greater attention to the economic situation and the concerns of Nigerians instead of relying on political endorsements as evidence of public acceptance.

“If the President had performed well, there would be no need for the desperation we are witnessing today,” he said.

Frank also questioned the sincerity of some political endorsements received by Tinubu, alleging that certain expressions of support were driven by expectations of financial rewards and personal benefits.

He urged the President to identify those genuinely interested in the country’s progress and distinguish them from individuals whose political positions were influenced by their personal interests.

File: Election in Nigeria
File: Election in Nigeria

Beyond his criticism of the administration, Frank warned against any attempt to manipulate the 2027 general election or undermine the wishes of voters.

He insisted that the credibility of the election would be more important than the political ambitions of any individual or party.

“Nigerians will not accept a situation in which someone is declared the winner when the people know they did not vote for him. They should not push the country into a crisis by attempting to impose him on the people,” he warned.

He called on Tinubu to respect the democratic process and ensure that the electoral authorities are allowed to conduct an election in which every vote counts.

The former APC spokesman further argued that the President could still secure a positive place in Nigeria’s political history if he chose to put the country’s democratic interests above his personal ambition.

“President Tinubu still has an opportunity to make history and have his name written in gold. He can achieve this by ensuring that the country conducts a free, fair and credible election,” he said.

Frank maintained that a transparent electoral process would allow Nigerians to freely choose their preferred candidate without intimidation, manipulation or interference.

He also stressed that the next presidential election should not become a source of political instability, warning that attempts to impose a candidate against the wishes of voters could generate serious consequences for the country.

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2027: Don't let politicians divide you – Obasanjo warns Nigerian youths in Kano

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Obasanjo

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo has told Nigerian youths not to allow politicians to use them to cause division in the country.

Obasanjo gave the advice on Saturday shortly after he was honoured with an honorary doctorate degree by Skyline University of Nigeria in Kano.

Speaking through a recorded video message, the former president said young people must refuse any campaign built on hate, segregation, discrimination and marginalisation, no matter who is behind it.

He said youths should not sit down and wait for change, but must fight for the kind of future they want for themselves.

According to him, young Nigerians must be positively disruptive, and must be ready to shake the system in a good way to bring real development.

Obasanjo reminded them that Nigeria was built by young leaders in the past, and he mentioned the likes of Aminu Kano and Anthony Enahoro, who stood up early to serve the country.

He said age, tribe or religion should not stop any youth from making impact, adding that the future of Nigeria is in the hands of the young generation.

"Don't let politicians divide you. You must reject campaigns capable of promoting division, segregation, discrimination and marginalisation, regardless of their ethnic, religious or age differences," he said.

The former president received the honour alongside former Executive Secretary of the National Universities Commission, Prof. Abubakar Adamu-Rasheed, and Mrs. Vadana Luthra.

2027: Don’t let politicians divide you – Obasanjo warns Nigerian youths in Kano

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