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Oil prices tumble as US, Iran reach peace deal

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Global crude oil prices recorded a steep decline on Monday following a peace agreement between the United States and Iran, bringing an end to more than two months of hostilities that disrupted global energy markets and fuelled inflationary pressures across several economies.

Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil, dropped by nearly four per cent to trade at $79.50 per barrel as of 9:54 a.m. Nigerian time.

An analysis of market data showed that Brent crude, which opened at $80.24 per barrel on Sunday, climbed briefly to about $81 before declining steadily to $79.39, its lowest level within the last 24 hours.

The sharp decline followed Sunday’s announcement by Washington and Tehran that they had agreed to end the conflict between the two countries.

The agreement also effectively halted the war between Israel and Iran and brought an end to Israeli military operations in Lebanon.

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The peace deal, reportedly brokered by Pakistan alongside several Middle Eastern countries, paves the way for the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most strategic oil transit routes through which roughly 20 per cent of global crude oil supplies are transported.

The strait had remained closed since the outbreak of hostilities on 28 February, when the United States and Israel launched military operations against Iran.

The disruption triggered significant volatility in global oil markets, pushing Brent crude above the $100-per-barrel threshold and driving energy costs to multi-year highs.

The surge in crude prices led to corresponding increases in the prices of refined petroleum products, including petrol, diesel and aviation fuel, across several countries.

In Nigeria, the spike in international oil prices translated into higher domestic fuel costs, triggering concerns among consumers, transport operators and businesses already grappling with rising living expenses.

As global crude prices fluctuated during the crisis, Dangote Refinery adjusted its ex-depot prices several times to reflect changing market conditions.

READ ALSO: US, Iran agree on deal to end war

Petrol, which sold for about N870 per litre before tensions escalated in the Middle East, now retails for approximately N1,350 per litre or higher in many major Nigerian cities.

The increase in fuel prices contributed to higher transportation fares and pushed up the cost of food, goods and services across the country.

The crisis also prompted governments around the world to introduce measures aimed at shielding their economies and citizens from the impact of rising energy costs.

With the conflict now officially ended and the Strait of Hormuz reopened, analysts expect global oil prices to moderate further in the coming weeks.

A sustained decline in crude prices could eventually translate into lower petrol prices and reduced energy costs in Nigeria and other oil-importing economies.

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Nigerian govt not operating “shadow budget” – Finance Minister

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The Federal Government has dismissed claims that it spent more than ₦8 trillion outside the approved budget, insisting that it does not operate a “shadow budget” and that all public expenditures are carried out within the framework of the Constitution and relevant laws.

In a statement issued on Sunday, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, described recent public commentary suggesting that about two per cent of Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was spent outside legislative approval as inaccurate and misleading.

The minister said the claims, reportedly linked to references made by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and its 2026 Article IV Consultation Report, created a false impression about the Federal Government’s financial management practices.

“For the avoidance of doubt, the Federal Government does not operate a ‘shadow budget’ or expend public funds outside the constitutional and statutory framework established for public finance,” Mr Oyedele stated.

He explained that under Sections 80 to 83 and 162 of the 1999 Constitution, as amended, public funds may be withdrawn and spent only in accordance with constitutional provisions and laws enacted by the National Assembly.

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According to him, federal expenditures are undertaken through duly enacted Appropriation Acts, Supplementary Appropriation Acts and other statutory authorisations approved by lawmakers.

The minister also noted that multi-year capital projects, which often extend beyond a single fiscal year, are implemented under existing legal provisions, including approved capital rollovers where necessary.

He argued that such arrangements are standard features of public financial management and should not be interpreted as spending outside the budget.

Mr Oyedele challenged those making the allegations to provide evidence of specific projects allegedly executed without appropriation or legal authorisation.

“Such allegations should have identified the specific projects purportedly executed without appropriation or legal authority and present credible evidence in support of the claim,” he said.

The minister further explained that Nigeria’s fiscal framework includes several statutory transfers, first-line charges and intervention mechanisms established by Acts of the National Assembly.

These include statutory allocations to development commissions and agencies created by law, cost-of-collection provisions for revenue-generating agencies, capital expenditures approved through separate budgets, special interventions addressing national priorities, as well as debt service obligations and other statutory transfers.

He stressed that these expenditures are lawful, publicly disclosed and subject to oversight, audit and accountability mechanisms.

According to Mr Oyedele, differences between how such expenditures are reported in fiscal documents and how they appear in annual appropriation laws often arise from international reporting standards and should not be misconstrued as evidence of unlawful spending.

The minister also rejected suggestions that the reported amount represented an increase in Nigeria’s fiscal deficit.

He explained that fiscal deficits are determined by the relationship between total government revenues and expenditures, adding that the source of financing for approved projects does not automatically increase the deficit.

Mr Oyedele said the IMF’s observations were largely focused on improving the comprehensiveness, timing and presentation of fiscal reporting rather than questioning the legality of government spending.

He recalled that President Bola Tinubu had, during the presentation of the 2026 Appropriation Bill to the National Assembly in December 2025, advocated harmonising multiple and overlapping budgets into a single, cohesive framework.

The minister reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to transparency, accountability and prudent fiscal management, noting that ongoing reforms have strengthened budget credibility, revenue administration, treasury management and the digitalisation of government financial processes.

READ ALSO: Oyedele confirms Nigeria has drawn first $1.5 billion under $5 billion Abu Dhabi financing deal

He added that these reforms have received recognition from the IMF, other multilateral institutions, international credit rating agencies, investors and major global media organisations.

While welcoming public scrutiny of government finances, Mr Oyedele urged commentators to ensure that debates are based on facts and a proper understanding of Nigeria’s constitutional and fiscal framework.

“The Federal Government will continue to uphold the rule of law, maintain transparency in the management of public resources, and work with the National Assembly, oversight institutions, development partners and the Nigerian people further to strengthen fiscal governance in line with international best practices,” he said.


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Alake warns mining firms over host community agreements, threatens licence revocation

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The Minister of Solid Minerals Development, Dele Alake, has warned mining companies operating in Nigeria that failure to comply with their Community Development Agreements (CDAs) could lead to sanctions, including the revocation of their licences.

Mr Alake gave the warning on Saturday during the ministry’s 2026 Ministerial Retreat in Abuja.

He said although the government has made significant progress in reforming the solid minerals sector, greater emphasis would now be placed on accountability and ensuring that host communities benefit from mining activities.

“Our reforms have restored confidence, attracted serious investors and made the sector a key part of Nigeria’s economic diversification. Now, our focus is on accountability,” he stated.

The minister stressed that companies must honour the agreements reached with their host communities.

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“Mining companies that fail to honour their Community Development Agreements will face sanctions, including the revocation of their licences,” he said.

He added that, “Host communities deserve to benefit from the resources in their land, and there will be consequences for those who ignore that responsibility.”

Community Development Agreements are legally required arrangements between mining companies and host communities, outlining commitments on social amenities, employment, infrastructure and other development projects.

READ ALSO: Alake calls for united African front to capture greater value from global mineral economy

Illegal mining

Mr Alake also reaffirmed the Federal Government’s commitment to tackling illegal mining across the country.

According to him, the ministry will strengthen the operations of the Mining Marshals while adopting practical and innovative measures to improve security in the sector.

“I also reaffirmed our commitment to ending illegal mining by strengthening the Mining Marshals and embracing practical, innovative ideas that will make the sector more secure and more beneficial to all Nigerians,” he said.

The minister said the government’s ongoing reforms are aimed at building a more transparent, secure and investment-friendly mining sector capable of contributing more significantly to Nigeria’s economic diversification.


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