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Why China now dominates Africa’s business landscape

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Business mogul and African billionaire Aliko Dangote has said China currently dominates business across Africa because it is more willing than the United States and Europe to provide long-term financing and credit support for major industrial and infrastructure projects.

Mr Dangote made the remarks during an interview with Nicolai Tangen, chief executive officer of the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund, where he gave a blunt assessment of the continent’s business relationships with global powers.

Asked who is helping Africa most in business among China, the U.S., and Europe, Mr Dangote replied: “Honestly, Nicolas, you want me to be very open? Totally. Yeah, so it’s China.”

According to him, China has “really dominated business in Africa because of the absence of the others.”

He said Chinese companies have succeeded by backing their businesses with strong state-supported financing structures that make it easier for African investors and governments to execute large projects.

Why China leads

Mr Dangote explained that Chinese suppliers often provide equipment on credit backed by export insurance institutions, allowing African businesses to spread payments over several years rather than paying upfront.

Using his cement business as an example, he said Chinese firms supply equipment and offer credit facilities backed by China’s export credit insurance agency, enabling buyers to finance projects over four or five years.

He noted that the arrangement gives Chinese companies a significant advantage over European competitors.

“If I go to Italy, for example, and they are asking me to write a cheque for a power plant of $500 million… and the Chinese are saying just give me 20 per cent, the rest I will finance for five years, which one are you going to take?” he said.

“Obviously, you take the Chinese one,” he added.

He said such financing structures help businesses preserve cash flow and expand faster rather than tying up capital in single projects.

“These ones will suck out my cash and I won’t be able to do more,” he said.

Expansion plans

Mr Dangote said access to financing is critical to the scale of growth his group is targeting, revealing that the company plans to spend about $45 billion between 2026 and 2030 on expansion projects.

“We want to do projects… we’re spending $45 billion between 2026 and 2030,” he said.

He added that large-scale industrial growth requires strategic leverage rather than overdependence on direct cash payments.

“For me to grow that big, I also need to leverage. I’m not going to over-leverage, but I need to leverage the business to be able to get to where I want to be,” he said.

U.S. showing renewed interest

Despite praising China’s role, Mr Dangote said the United States is beginning to show stronger interest in infrastructure financing in Africa.

He referenced recent engagement with the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), saying the agency has become more aggressive in supporting infrastructure and industrial investments.

“This time around when I went to the Development Finance Corporation of the U.S… they were very hungry for infrastructure. They are very hungry for projects, and they are ready to lend,” he said.

According to him, that shift could create room for stronger U.S.-Africa business partnerships.

Mr Dangote also said he recently told a visiting Japanese delegation that Japan risked remaining absent from Africa’s major investment opportunities unless it changed its approach.

He said foreign partners coming to Africa must arrive with financing capacity, not just proposals.

“What I told them is that Japan will be missing for a very long time,” he said.

“Today when you are coming, make sure that you come with your own balance sheet on the table, because we have choices of buying from many other countries.”

His remarks highlight the growing competition among global powers for influence in Africa’s industrial and infrastructure sectors, where financing terms often matter more than technology alone.

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NNPC activates multiple pathways to transform Nigeria into global gas hub —Official

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd.) has reiterated its commitment to activating multiple pathways to transform Nigeria into a global gas hub.

According to a statement issued by NNPC’s Chief Corporate Communications Officer, Andy Odeh, the company’s Executive Vice President, Gas, Power & New Energy, Olalekan Ogunleye, disclosed this while speaking at the 2026 Gas Technology & Exhibition Conference (GASTECH) in Bangkok, Thailand, on Monday.

Mr Ogunleye spoke during a panel session themed, “The New LNG Order: Leadership Strategies for Energy Security and Growth.”

He said Nigeria was leveraging its more than 215 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of proven gas reserves to drive domestic industrialisation and expand its export market as geopolitical tensions, conflicts and other factors continue to affect global energy supply and demand.

“Gas development and monetisation from Nigeria’s standpoint is a purely commercial play. NNPC Ltd. is implementing a Gas Master Plan (GMP) engineered as a gap-to-potential tool to move Nigeria from a 215tcf reserves position to above 600tcf,” Mr Ogunleye said.

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Gas production targets

According to the statement, Mr Ogunleye said NNPC’s strategy is anchored on stronger coordination under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), the Decade of Gas Framework and the Gas Master Plan.

He said the near-term targets are to increase Nigeria’s national gas production to 10 billion standard cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) by 2027 and 12 Bcf/d by 2030.

In January, NNPC unveiled its Gas Master Plan (GMP) 2026, aimed at driving industrialisation and strengthening Nigeria’s energy security.

At the launch, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, Bayo Ojulari, said Nigeria had about 210 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of proven gas reserves, with an upside potential of up to 600 Tcf.

He described the resource base as one of the world’s most significant hydrocarbon endowments, saying its development was supported by the Petroleum Industry Act 2021 and the Federal Government’s gas-focused energy transition agenda.

Mr Ojulari said the plan was designed to exceed the presidential mandate of raising national gas production to 10 Bcf/d by 2027 and 12 Bcf/d by 2030.

According to him, the plan is expected to catalyse more than $60 billion in investments across the oil and gas value chain by 2030.

He said the plan prioritises cost optimisation, operational excellence and the systematic conversion of gas resources from 3P to bankable 2P reserves.

The plan also seeks to strengthen gas supply to power generation, Compressed Natural Gas (CNG), Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), Mini-LNG and other critical industrial off-takers.

Mr Ojulari said NNPC adopted a collaborative and investor-centric approach in developing the GMP 2026, with input from industry stakeholders, partners and investors.

LNG expansion

At GASTECH, Mr Ogunleye said Nigeria was already a reliable global gas supplier and was pursuing a major expansion of its LNG capacity.

He cited the Nigeria LNG project’s Trains 1-6, which have a combined production capacity of 22 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) and have exported more than 6,000 LNG cargoes since 1999.

He also cited Train 7, which is scheduled for completion in 2027, as part of the country’s ongoing LNG expansion.

READ ALSO: Audit Reports: Reps panel vows to make NNPC, oil marketers account for ₦432bn debt

Mr Ogunleye said Nigeria’s geographical position, which gives it access to both the Atlantic Basin and Asian markets, further strengthens its position as a strategic global gas supplier.

He said this advantage, combined with the country’s substantial gas reserves and renewed national focus on gas development, provides a strong basis for expanding the industry.

According to him, domestic gas utilisation and exports are not mutually exclusive, as Nigeria is pursuing a dual pathway that uses exports to generate foreign exchange while expanding domestic gas use to create jobs, strengthen energy security and improve economic wellbeing.

Mr Ogunleye said Nigeria had also de-risked new LNG projects through a robust legal and regulatory framework backed by attractive fiscal incentives.

“With continued efforts towards stable security, competitive gas pricing and assured gas supply, there is no better time for investors and financiers to participate in the development of Nigeria’s LNG projects confidently,” he said.

GASTECH is a major global conference and exhibition focused on natural gas, LNG, hydrogen and low-carbon solutions.

The 54th edition brings together about 50,000 participants from more than 150 countries, including energy experts, chief executives, policymakers, investors and technology leaders, to discuss energy security, LNG supply, infrastructure investment and decarbonisation.


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Transcorp, AXA Mansard, GTCO top stock pick this week

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Nigerian stocks slid by 1.6 per cent last week, following profit-taking activities across all sectors except oil & gas.

The Insurance Index was worst hit, declining by 5.5 per cent, and remains the only sector index so far this year with a negative yield.

“Stocks with strong earnings, attractive valuations and consistent dividend payouts should also remain in focus,” investment bank United Capital Plc said in a note to investors ahead of the week.

This week, focus will shift to the primary market, where the landmark $1.6 billion initial public offering of Dangote Refinery will be commencing.

PREMIUM TIMES has assembled some stocks with sound fundamentals, adopting rigorous approaches to save you the risk of picking equities at random for investment.

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The pick, a product of an analytical market watch, offers a guide to entering the market and taking strategic positions, with the expectation that selected stocks will record reasonable price appreciation with the passage of time.

This is not a buy, sell or hold recommendation but a stock investment guide. You may need to involve your financial advisor before taking investment decisions.

Transnational Corporation (Transcorp)

Transcorp tops this week’s list for its strong fundamentals and for trading below its intrinsic value. The net profit ratio (NPR) of the conglomerate is 24.7, while the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 4.5x. Its 10-day relative strength index (RSI) is 31.5.

AXA Mansard

AXA Mansard appears on the pick on the basis of its attractive fundamentals. The NPR of the insurer is 3.4, while the PE ratio is 29.8x, while the RSI is 47.3.

Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO)

GTCO makes the selection for its strong fundamentals and for trading below its intrinsic value. The banking group’s NPR is 37.4, while the PE ratio is 5.4x. Its RSI is 47.8.

ALSO READ: Stanbic IBTC, Mutual Benefits, Aradel top stock picks this week

NPF Microfinance Bank

NPF Microfinance Bank makes the cut for its sound fundamentals. The PE ratio of the micro-lender is 7.2x, while the RSI is 22.5.

Neimeth

Neimeth makes the cut for its sound fundamentals. The NPR of the pharmaceutical company is 12.2, while the PE ratio is 33.2x. The RSI is 40.8.


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