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OPINION: Reflecting on the March 18 polls in Plateau

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OPINION Plateau March 18 polls

March 18 Polls

SOMETIMES, even the elements foretell the fortunes of men. At exactly 2.10 pm on Sunday, March 19, 2023, it started to rain. Not in showers or drizzles. It was a downpour, also witnessed in other parts of Plateau State. Who says God has abandoned this land? That sudden rainfall brought with it wonderful tidings. At the very moment it touched this parched earth, the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), was already leading in the gubernatorial and house of assembly elections held the day before.  The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) was trailing. As the rains fell, it appeared to put paid to the most incredible upsets in the House of Assembly polls. The Speaker, Yakubu Sanda, and the Majority Leader, Naanlong Gagyil, had lost to the PDP. Those resounding victories were more remarkable because these lawmakers played key roles in the removal of the immediate past Speaker, allegedly masterminded by Governor Lalong.  And they continued to be unrepentant allies of Lalong.

Worthy of note is that it was Mrs. Happiness Mathew Akawu that walloped the Speaker in their Pengana State Constituency. Thus, bringing a gender boost and fresh dimension to the equation. As at the last count, the PDP had swept 16 more seats, bringing the tally for now to 18 in the 24-member legislature. Obviously, the PDP already held a comfortable majority. The rains also re-enforced the fact that God has also sent another Caleb, just as He did to the Israelites in the wilderness, to free Plateau State from the grip of the APC and restore it to its pre-destined glory. A glory that was mercilessly sacrificed for the political gains of a few. Apparently, God has not abandoned this grieving land. No, He has not. For Caleb is a Hebrew name that means ‘faithful’, ‘whole-hearted’, ‘bold’ or ‘brave’. Have no doubts. This Barrister Caleb Mutfwang, the gubernatorial candidate of the PDP, is set to be faithfully and whole-heartedly devoted to pursuing the cause of the long-suffering masses.

He will be brave and determined in confronting the state’s detractors who thrived on the people’s frustrations and had a field day. Boldness and courage shall be his catchphrase while meeting his own part of the social contract which he solemnly sealed with the people last Saturday. In the results just announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) on Monday, March 20, Barrister Mutfwang defeated his closest rival of the APC, Dr. Nentawe Yilwatda, by 525, 299 votes. Yilwatda polled 481, 370. He was humbled with a difference of 43, 929 ballots. As the final results were being announced at around 3.18 PM, the heavens were once more pregnant with clouds, just as the day before. Again, the omens are magnificent. Surely, God is still watching over Plateau State. Finally, these noble and proud citizens have snatched their state from the precipice. Not without the necessary sacrifice and pain, though. Moving forward, restoring sustainable and lasting peace in this land that has been plagued by all sorts of crises should be of paramount importance to the new administration. Today, there are thousands of traumatised and disillusioned citizens whose lives have been totally shattered by the myriads of horrific mayhem visited on them and their communities.

He will be brave and determined in confronting the state’s detractors who thrived on the people’s frustrations and had a field day. Boldness and courage shall be his catchphrase while meeting his own part of the social contract which he solemnly sealed with the people last Saturday. In the results just announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) on Monday, March 20, Barrister Mutfwang defeated his closest rival of the APC, Dr. Nentawe Yilwatda, by 525, 299 votes. Yilwatda polled 481, 370. He was humbled with a difference of 43, 929 ballots. As the final results were being announced at around 3.18 PM, the heavens were once more pregnant with clouds, just as the day before. Again, the omens are magnificent. Surely, God is still watching over Plateau State. Finally, these noble and proud citizens have snatched their state from the precipice. Not without the necessary sacrifice and pain, though. Moving forward, restoring sustainable and lasting peace in this land that has been plagued by all sorts of crises should be of paramount importance to the new administration. Today, there are thousands of traumatised and disillusioned citizens whose lives have been totally shattered by the myriads of horrific mayhem visited on them and their communities.

Under his guidance, the peoples of the Middle Belt will reclaim their place as a distinct and unique socio-political expression and entity in the larger geographical north who fiercely cherish and protect their independence. The troubling matter of the state’s unwieldy debt stock should give any leader nightmares. With a debt of over N250 billion, one of the highest in the country, it is a huge irony that Plateau is among the four poorest states in Nigeria. But Mr. Mutfwang has, in course of his campaign tour of the state, outlined very practical and robust means of cracking this naughty nut. He has already drawn up a strategic plan on how to take the state from complete reliance on the monthly Federation Account allocations by tapping into other revenue sources in which the state has comparative advantage. Tourism and mechanised agricultural cultivation of rare and exotic crops such as Irish potatoes, strawberries, cabbage, carrots, etc, would be given a pride of place. He has also maintained that the state must cut its coat according to the size of its cloth. This means that all manner of extravagant, wasteful and unnecessary expenditure would stop.

Although this will inflict some pains on citizens, it is a necessary distress that must be endured if the state must survive economically, socially and politically. The long-term gains would certainly outweigh the short-term discomforts. An uncomfortably large number of uncompleted so-called Legacy Projects litter the state’s landscape. The costs remain an issue of litigation while the level of work done is mired in controversy. The necessity and usefulness of most of the projects to the host communities are questionable. This is a stark testament to the lack of transparency and accountability in administration. It says a lot about and the total lack of strategic planning and discipline in the use of scarce resources. A review of the projects should be carried and those deemed to be very essential to communities completed. Healing the land should is uppermost on the Mutfwang agenda. Too much blood has been shed in this land. Too many people are wounded and deeply scarred physically, emotionally and psychologically. But at the bottom of this healing should be justice. For there cannot be real peace, forgiveness and reconciliation without justice.

Peace is not the mere the absence of war and conflict. Peace goes much deeper, is more profound and fundamental. Fortunately, Barrister Mutfwang has exhibited a great capacity for boldly initiating this healing process and ensuring that justice is given to the oppressed and victims of violence and land-grabbing. Many citizens who have encountered him both in-person and in the media say that he does not come across as a lawyer-governor that will subvert the cause of justice. Rather, he will protect the poor and uphold the rule of law and the democratic process. As Barrister Caleb Mutfwang gets ready to take over the reins of power, citizens are sure that a new dawn is on the horizon. They see in the governor-elect another Caleb that has come to wipe their tears and restore hope, good governance, peace and development to this ravished state.

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S&P upgrades Nigeria’s credit rating, FG reacts

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S&P Global Ratings has upgraded Nigeria’s credit rating from B- to B with a Stable Outlook, an indication that the US-based agency believes Nigeria’s economy is getting better.

The improved rating was disclosed by finance minister Taiwo Oyedele in an X post early on Saturday.

“This latest upgrade by S&P follows similar positive rating actions in 2025 by Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Ratings,” Mr Oyedele wrote.

PREMIUM TIMES reports that Fitch and Moody’s had upgraded Nigeria’s sovereign rating, with Fitch also raising the rating from B-to B with a stable outlook.

Mr Oyedele said the improved ratings by the three global ratings firms indicate their belief in President Bola Tinubu’s economic policies.

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“It further reinforces growing international confidence in Nigeria’s economic reform trajectory, policy consistency, and medium-term growth prospects,” he wrote.

Read Mr Oyedele’s full statement below.

T ’ &

The Federal Government welcomes the decision by S&P Global Ratings to upgrade Nigeria’s sovereign credit rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’ with a Stable Outlook.

This latest upgrade by S&P follows similar positive rating actions in 2025 by Fitch Ratings and Moody’s Ratings. It further reinforces growing international confidence in Nigeria’s economic reform trajectory, policy consistency, and medium-term growth prospects.

These independent assessments collectively affirm that the difficult but necessary reforms undertaken under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, GCFR, are yielding measurable results and laying the foundation for a more stable, transparent, and resilient economy.

In particular, S&P highlighted improvements in Nigeria’s external position, stronger balance of payments dynamics, increased oil production, expanding domestic refining and export capacity, and the sustained implementation of key macroeconomic reforms including foreign exchange market liberalisation.

The agency also recognised ongoing fiscal reforms aimed at broadening the tax base, improving public revenue mobilisation, enhancing fiscal transparency, and strengthening debt sustainability. Notably, Nigeria’s debt-to-revenue ratio has improved significantly since 2023 and is projected to decline further as reforms continue to mature.

The upgrades by Fitch, Moody’s, and now S&P send a strong signal to global investors, development partners, financial markets, and the international business community that Nigeria is regaining macroeconomic credibility and restoring confidence in the management of its economy.

The government remains firmly committed to prudent fiscal management, macroeconomic stability, and structural reforms that promote inclusive and sustainable growth. We have maintained our position against the reintroduction of inefficient fuel subsidies which historically created significant fiscal distortions, incentivised smuggling, weakened foreign exchange liquidity, and diverted scarce public resources away from critical national priorities.

We remain committed to a market-driven economy anchored on transparency, competition, and effective regulatory oversight. Accordingly, the Federal Government will continue to uphold policies that support free enterprise, respect private investment, and provide a stable and predictable environment for businesses and investors to thrive.

While these positive ratings developments are encouraging, we recognise that the work ahead remains substantial. We are focused on addressing inflationary pressures, improving food security, expanding decent job opportunities, and ensuring that economic growth translates into meaningful and inclusive prosperity for all Nigerians.

The Federal, States and Local Governments will continue to implement reforms with discipline, pragmatism, and compassion while maintaining close engagement with citizens and all stakeholders.

The Federal Government appreciates the resilience, patience, and support of Nigerians in this reform journey. The improving outlook from leading global rating agencies will further position our country to attract investments and and enhance the country’s ability to secure financing on more favourable terms. We are strengthened in our resolve to build a stronger economy that is globally competitive, fiscally sustainable, and works for all Nigerians.


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Peter Obi’s acceptance in North still in doubt despite Kwankwaso’s support base – Muhammad, Ibrahim 

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A political alliance between former Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi, and the leader of the Kwankwasiyya movement, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, is already generating fresh conversations ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

Although neither politician has officially emerged as the presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) yet, both men are seen as preferred candidates to contest against the ruling party and other strong opposition parties in the next election cycle.

Political observers believe the talks are largely driven by the electoral realities of the 2023 presidential election, where both candidates recorded impressive but regionally limited performances.

Obi secured more than six million votes nationwide under the Labour Party and won 11 states alongside the Federal Capital Territory (FCT). However, in the northern region, his victories were limited to Plateau and Nasarawa states, as well as the FCT, where he enjoyed considerable support.

Kwankwaso, who contested on the platform of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP), won Kano State and secured nearly one million votes, reinforcing his influence in the North-West.

The proposed alliance is now raising questions about whether Kwankwaso’s northern political structure could help Obi improve his acceptance across the region in 2027.

Speaking with DAILY POST in an exclusive interview, political analyst and lecturer at the Aliko Dangote University of Science and Technology, Professor Murtala Muhammad, said Obi’s appeal in the North during the 2023 election was mostly concentrated among urban youths and citizens seeking alternatives to mainstream political parties.

“Peter Obi demonstrated some electoral strength in parts of Northern Nigeria during the 2023 presidential election, particularly in Abuja and among urban youths, middle-class voters, and citizens dissatisfied with the traditional political establishment,” he said.

According to him, electoral trends showed that Obi’s strongest support base remained outside the North.

“Electoral analyses estimated his northern vote share at roughly 14 per cent, compared to over 40 per cent in Southern Nigeria,” Muhammad stated.

He explained that while an alliance with Kwankwaso could strengthen Obi’s chances in Kano and parts of the North-West, it may not significantly alter the broader regional voting pattern.

“Although a potential alliance with Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso could improve Obi’s competitiveness, particularly in Kano through the Kwankwasiyya movement, it does not automatically guarantee widespread northern support,” he added.

Muhammad argued that voting behaviour across most parts of the North-West is still heavily influenced by religion, regional identity, longstanding party loyalty, and local political interests.

“Consequently, many northern voters may still be reluctant to support Obi despite Kwankwaso’s endorsement, making it analytically inaccurate to assume that Kwankwaso’s northern identity alone can deliver the wider North-West voting bloc to Obi,” he said.

Also speaking on the development, Kano-based politician and State House of Assembly aspirant, Aminu Abdullahi Ibrahim, acknowledged that Obi has gained more visibility among northern youths since the last election.

“I believe Peter Obi has gained a level of popularity in parts of northern Nigeria, especially among young people, urban voters, Christians in the North-Central region, and Nigerians who are frustrated,” Ibrahim said.

He maintained, however, that Obi still faces stiff political limitations in the core North-West states, where established political structures remain dominant.

“His popularity in the core North-West, particularly in states like Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kebbi, Sokoto, and Zamfara, still remains limited when compared to established northern political figures such as Atiku Abubakar,” he added.

Despite those limitations, Ibrahim said a merger between both politicians could still create a stronger opposition platform than what existed during the 2023 election.

“That said, if Peter Obi and Kwankwaso eventually form a political alliance ahead of future elections, it could make a significant difference compared to 2023,” he stated.

According to him, any serious challenge in 2027 would depend on more than just popularity or online support.

“They require strong grassroots mobilization, party unity, trusted local structures, religious and ethnic balancing, and the ability to protect votes across polling units. Even if Obi and Kwankwaso work together, translating public excitement into nationwide electoral victory will still be a major challenge,” Ibrahim said.

As coalition discussions continue, analysts say the success of any Obi-Kwankwaso partnership may ultimately depend on whether both politicians can transform their individual regional strengths into a truly national political movement capable of competing across Nigeria’s diverse electoral landscape.

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