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Interpretation of Lagos HIV data misleading, figures reflect routine testing- Official

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The immediate past chairman of the Nigeria Medical Association (NMA), Lagos State chapter, Babajide Saheed, has challenged the interpretation of figures showing that Lagos recorded 10,430 new HIV cases in 2025, arguing that the data reflects routine HIV testing rather than newly diagnosed infections.

Mr Saheed made the clarification on Channels Television during The Morning Brief show on Wednesday while reacting to figures from the ”State of the Health of the Nation Report 2025,” which have sparked widespread discussion on social media.

The report indicates that Lagos recorded 10,430 new HIV cases in 2025, the highest among Nigeria’s 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), and higher than the combined figures for Kaduna, Adamawa and the FCT.

During the programme, the television anchors questioned why Lagos continued to record such high numbers despite years of HIV awareness campaigns and prevention efforts.

Interpretation

Responding, Mr Saheed said the figures should not be interpreted as newly diagnosed HIV infections.

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According to him, the numbers largely represent HIV positivity from routine testing carried out among people already receiving treatment, alongside newly diagnosed cases.

“It is routine testing,” he said repeatedly during the interview, urging viewers to refer to the clarification issued by the National Agency for the Control of AIDS (NACA).

He explained that people living with HIV routinely undergo tests while receiving antiretroviral treatment, and those results are captured in health records.

However, despite disagreeing with the interpretation of the figures, Mr Saheed acknowledged that Lagos continues to bear a significant HIV burden.

He described the situation as “a red flag”, noting that Lagos, alongside states such as Rivers and Benue, has consistently recorded high HIV numbers over the years.

Factors driving the trend

Mr Saheed attributed the trend to a combination of reduced international donor funding, economic hardship and challenges accessing HIV treatment.

He said funding cuts by international partners, coupled with Nigeria’s economic situation, may have contributed to disruptions in HIV services.

“If people cannot afford to feed themselves, how can they afford transportation to the hospital?” he said.

He urged the federal government to increase domestic funding for HIV programmes, invest in local production of antiretroviral medicines, strengthen public awareness campaigns and decentralise HIV treatment to primary healthcare centres and private facilities.

Mr Saheed also called for intensified public education on HIV prevention, including condom use, abstinence and early testing, particularly among young people and women, whom he identified among the groups most affected.

PREMIUM TIMES review

A review of the 2025 Final State of the Health of the Nation Report, produced by the Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, confirmed that Lagos recorded 10,430 new HIV cases in 2025, down from 14,622 in 2024.

The report also shows that Lagos recorded the highest number of reported new HIV cases among the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).

Further review of the data shows that, aside from Lagos, the highest figures were recorded in Rivers (6,287), Kano (6,010), Akwa Ibom (5,413), Taraba (4,854), Benue (4,804), Anambra (4,468) and Kaduna (3,699).

Other states

The report revealed that other states recorded comparatively lower figures, including Adamawa (2,989), Bauchi (2,736), FCT (2,764), Sokoto (2,592), Abia (2,546), Cross River (2,545), Imo (2,539), Delta (2,469), Nasarawa (2,410), Borno (2,311), Zamfara (2,134), Ogun (2,107), Plateau (2,084), Niger (2,020), Ebonyi (2,015), Oyo (1,910), Jigawa (1,776), Kogi (1,752), Ondo (1,622), Edo (1,619), Kebbi (1,572), Katsina (1,541), Yobe (1,483), Enugu (1,479), Kwara (1,371), Osun (1,093), Gombe (1,083), Bayelsa (982) and Ekiti (462).

READ ALSO: US HIV funding withdrawal from South Africa could cost lives, UNAIDS warns

The report also shows that Ekiti recorded the lowest figure nationwide, followed by Bayelsa, Gombe, Osun, Kwara, Enugu and Yobe, while Lagos, Rivers, Kano, Akwa Ibom, Taraba and Benue recorded the highest numbers.

NACA’s earlier clarification

In April, NACA cautioned against interpreting similar state-by-state HIV figures as representing the actual burden of the disease, saying they had been taken out of context.

The agency explained that the figures reflected HIV positivity from routine testing conducted in health facilities and should not be used to estimate HIV prevalence or incidence or rank states by disease burden. It said such data are influenced by factors including population size, testing coverage and reporting practices.

NACA also warned that HIV data should only be generated, interpreted, and disseminated by authorised government health institutions, in line with established protocols, to avoid misleading the public.


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Health

97% of PHCs in 16 states fail national staffing standards – Report

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A new assessment of 1,480 Primary Healthcare Centres (PHCs) across 16 Nigerian states has found that 97 per cent failed to meet the national minimum staffing requirement, raising fresh concerns about the capacity of the country’s frontline health facilities to provide essential services.

The PHC Operational Capability Report, produced by Orodata Science and Civic Tech, assessed facilities across 277 local government areas in Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones.

The assessment, conducted between October 2023 and June 2025, examined staffing, infrastructure, equipment, electricity, water supply and accessibility using the CheckMyPHC Digital Scorecard.

According to the report, only three per cent of the facilities assessed met the national minimum staffing requirement, while 11 of the 16 states had no assessed PHC that met the standard.

What the staffing standard requires

The national PHC framework recognises adequate staffing as essential to the delivery of quality primary healthcare.

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The National Primary Health Care Development Agency’s (NPHCDA) Ward Minimum Health Care Package, developed with the World Health Organisation (WHO), outlines minimum manpower requirements for ward-level PHCs.

For a PHC, the proposed workforce includes a community health officer, public health nurse, three community health extension workers, six junior community health extension workers and four nurse/midwives, with a medical assistant listed as optional.

The same framework recommends that basic essential obstetric care centres be adequately staffed with four midwives or nurse/midwives to provide 24-hour coverage for maternal and newborn care.

Against this staffing framework, the Orodata assessment found that only three per cent of the facilities surveyed met the national minimum requirement.

The report said the shortage was particularly concerning because about 75 per cent of the assessed PHCs were located in rural communities, where such facilities often serve as the first and sometimes only formal source of healthcare for residents.

Staffing gaps, other deficiencies

The staffing problem was not isolated.

The assessment found that many of the facilities struggling to meet staffing requirements were also dealing with inadequate infrastructure and unreliable basic utilities.

According to the report, 40 per cent of the PHCs had broken ceilings or leaking roofs, while 38 per cent operated without electricity.

Water supply was another major concern, with 39 per cent of the facilities relying on unsafe water sources.

Orodata said the deficiencies were interconnected, with poor infrastructure, inadequate staffing, unreliable electricity and water supplies, limited equipment and accessibility barriers often occurring within the same facilities.

The report said the combination could increase risks for patients while placing additional pressure on the health workers available at the facilities.

Newborn care faces major equipment gaps

The assessment also exposed gaps in the capacity of PHCs to respond to complications during childbirth.

It found that 75 per cent of the facilities lacked essential neonatal resuscitation equipment.

Such equipment is required to support emergency interventions for newborns experiencing complications during or immediately after delivery.

The report said the absence of essential newborn-care equipment, alongside staffing shortages and other infrastructure deficiencies, could limit the ability of facilities to provide safe maternal and newborn services.

Accessibility was also a major concern.

According to the assessment, 66 per cent of the PHCs lacked provisions for persons with disabilities and people with mobility challenges.

State-level differences emerge

While the overall findings showed widespread deficiencies, the severity varied across the states assessed.

The report identified Kano and Sokoto as having particularly serious gaps in safe water, reliable electricity and essential newborn-care equipment.

In Gombe, 80 per cent of the assessed PHCs lacked accessibility provisions for persons with disabilities and people with mobility challenges.

The assessment also sought to establish how residents viewed the services provided by their local facilities.

It found that 51 per cent of surveyed community members rated services at their local PHCs as poor.

PHC challenges

The findings are consistent with concerns documented by PREMIUM TIMES in a recent investigation into rural PHCs in Osun State.

The investigation found that despite government investments in the health sector and efforts to revitalise primary healthcare facilities, challenges including inadequate staffing, deteriorating infrastructure, limited equipment and gaps in essential services persisted at some rural facilities.

At one of the facilities visited by PREMIUM TIMES, a single health worker was responsible for attending to pregnant women, children and other patients, while also responding to emergencies outside normal working hours. The facility also lacked a functional laboratory and had inadequate delivery equipment.

The investigation further found that some patients had to travel outside their communities for basic services because the facilities could not provide them.

READ ALSO: Over 30% of solar systems in PHCs fail within three years — Health Minister

Coordinated interventions

Orodata said improving PHCs would require coordinated interventions beyond isolated renovations.

It urged state governments to develop facility-specific plans with clear targets, responsibilities, resources and timelines, alongside regular monitoring.

The organisation also recommended repairs to damaged infrastructure, provision of safe water and reliable electricity, solar or hybrid power systems, recruitment and retention of health workers, and essential neonatal resuscitation equipment for PHCs offering delivery services.

The assessment involved facility visits, direct observation, interviews with health workers and community members, photographs, GPS coordinates and facility records.

Orodata said its CheckMyPHC Digital Scorecard was based on NPHCDA minimum standards and inclusion requirements, and urged authorities to use verified facility-level evidence to guide resource allocation and interventions.


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Health

Nigerian senator receives Health Champion 2026 award, calls for stronger health financing

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The Chairman of the Senate Committee on Health, Ipalibo Banigo, has called for increased investment in Nigeria’s health sector, saying the country remains below its commitments to healthcare financing.

Ms Banigo made the call on Monday in Abuja after she was recognised as the Health Champion 2026 at the Health Sector Reform Coalition (HSRC)/Nigeria Universal Health Coverage (UHC) Civil Society Organisations-Media Mid-Year Review of Nigeria’s Health Sector Reforms.

The event brought together government representatives, civil society organisations, development partners and media professionals to review progress on health-sector reforms and efforts to improve health outcomes in Nigeria.

Increased health investment

Receiving the recognition, Ms Banigo, a medical doctor and senator representing Rivers West Senatorial District, said Nigeria still had significant ground to cover in meeting its health-financing commitments.

She noted that despite the country’s commitment under the Abuja Declaration to allocate 15 per cent of its annual budget to health, actual government spending remains considerably below that benchmark.

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“We are not up to the 15 per cent declaration, the Abuja Declaration; we are not there yet. Even at six per cent, we are not close to it,” she said.

She stressed that stronger efforts were needed to increase domestic financing for healthcare.

Her call comes as the National Assembly continues to pursue legislative measures to expand domestic resources available for healthcare.

Legislative

One of the measures sponsored by Ms Banigo is the National Health Act (Amendment) Bill, which seeks to increase the allocation to the Basic Health Care Provision Fund (BHCPF) from one per cent to two per cent of the Consolidated Revenue Fund.

The BHCPF is intended to support the delivery of basic healthcare services, particularly through primary healthcare facilities.

Beyond the BHCPF, Ms Banigo has also sponsored the Sugar-Sweetened Beverages (SSB) Tax Bill, which seeks to replace the existing flat-rate levy on sugary drinks with a percentage-based levy linked to retail prices.

The Senate passed the bill in June 2026.

Under the proposed framework, revenue generated from the levy would support health promotion, disease prevention and primary healthcare.

Health advocacy

The Health Champion 2026 recognition was presented to Ms Banigo for her advocacy and legislative contributions to Nigeria’s health sector.

Presenting the plaque, the Coordinating Minister of Health and Social Welfare, Muhammad Pate, applauded her contributions and encouraged her to sustain the effort.

Mr Pate’s commendation came as stakeholders at the event reviewed ongoing reforms to improve health financing and health outcomes across the country.

READ ALSO: Tax reforms, economic growth critical to Nigeria’s health financing – Official

Ms Banigo expressed appreciation to the organisers, government representatives, civil society organisations, development partners, media professionals and other stakeholders involved in the review.

Ms Banigo said the recognition had further strengthened her resolve to continue supporting policies and reforms aimed at improving healthcare delivery in Nigeria.


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