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IMF Revises Nigeria’s 2026 Growth Forecast Downward to 4.1%

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lowered Nigeria’s economic growth projection for 2026 to 4.1 per cent as the economic consequences of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East continue to take a toll.

The updated forecast was revealed during the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings held in Washington, D.C., where officials cautioned that energy and supply chain disruptions caused by the war are weakening economic recovery across the region.

IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas explained that the downgrade highlights the wider challenges confronting countries that rely heavily on imported energy.

“For Sub-Saharan Africa, we are observing a downward revision in growth and a rise in inflation in several countries within the region,” Gourinchas stated. “The effects are largely consistent with what we are witnessing globally, particularly for nations that depend on energy imports.”

He further noted that the Fund is actively engaging with several countries to assess their needs under the current circumstances and is working closely with the International Energy Agency and the World Bank to address disruptions in the energy market.

Also speaking on the issue, Denz Igan, Chief of the IMF Research Department’s World Economic Studies Division, said the 0.3 percentage point reduction reflects multiple economic pressures.

“Higher costs of fuel and fertiliser caused by the war, along with increased shipping expenses, are expected to slow non-oil economic activities in Nigeria,” Igan said. “Although rising oil prices provide some support, the overall outlook points to slower growth in 2026, with a projected improvement in 2027.”

The IMF also forecasts that median inflation across Sub-Saharan Africa will increase from 3.4 per cent in 2025 to 5 per cent in 2026, driven by elevated oil and fertiliser prices, possible fuel supply shortages, and rising operational costs.

Regarding Nigeria, she emphasised that maintaining a tight monetary policy will be essential for meeting the inflation target set by the central bank.

Additionally, the IMF pointed out that bilateral aid to Sub-Saharan Africa declined by 16 to 20 per cent in 2025, removing an important financial cushion at a time when commodity and shipping costs are surging.

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NAICOM Targets Market Stability, Recapitalization and ESG Growth Through UNDP Partnership

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L-R Mr Ikenns Orji, Mr Ekerete Ola Gam-Ikon (Deputy Commissioner finance and administration; National Insurance Commission), Mr Henry Akwitti (Leader of the delegation), Mr Olusegun Ayo Omosehin (Commissioner for Insurance National Insurance Commission), Mr David Rueller, (member of the delegation), Dr Usman Jankata (Deputy Commissioner technical National Insurance Commission)and Mr Joseph Eta.


BY NKECHINAECHE-ESEZOBOR—
The National Insurance Commission, (NAICOM), has reaffirmed its commitment to strengthening Nigeria’s insurance sector through a renewed partnership with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), with a focus on market stability, industry recapitalization, and the integration of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles.

During a courtesy visit by the UNDP delegation to the Commission, both parties outlined strategic priorities aimed at expanding insurance access, enhancing regulatory capacity, and developing innovative climate and disaster risk solutions to improve resilience and deepen insurance penetration across the country.

Speaking during the visit, the UNDP Regional Specialist, Mr. David Mueller, expressed appreciation for the Commission’s leadership and reaffirmed UNDP’s commitment to supporting Nigeria’s insurance sector.

He highlighted UNDP’s interest in scaling the Lagos Flood Risk Insurance Model, strengthening systemic capacity, including actuarial development and enabling insurers to mobilize domestic capital for sustainable investment.

The UNDP delegation also pledged continued support for the implementation of ongoing reforms in the Nigerian insurance industry, drawing on lessons learned from previous UNDP supported projects within the sector.

In his response, the Commissioner for Insurance welcomed the UNDP team and expressed gratitude for their sustained support to the Nigerian insurance industry. He outlined five strategic pillars underpinning NAICOM’s reform agenda and reiterated the Commission’s commitment to a transparent recapitalization process, fostering innovation, and creating an enabling environment to significantly enhance insurance penetration in Nigeria.

The Commissioner noted that the recently enacted Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025 provides a robust legal framework for strengthening consumer protection, enhancing regulatory capacity, improving financial soundness, promoting innovation and sustainability, and expanding market access and penetration.

He further explained that the ongoing industry recapitalization exercise, with the first phase scheduled to conclude on 31 July 2026, is designed to reinforce the financial stability and resilience of insurance institutions. To support operators, NAICOM has established dedicated support mechanisms, including a Recapitalization Committee, to guide the process.

The Commissioner also affirmed NAICOM’s commitment to institutionalizing Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles and sustainable insurance practices through the development of an in house NAICOM ESG Framework, building on prior diagnostic work and toolkits developed in collaboration with partners such as FSD Africa and UNDP.

Both parties agreed on the urgent need to rapidly scale actuarial capacity across the insurance industry through coordinated systemic capacity building initiatives, including the GAIN programme and strategic partnerships with actuarial service providers.The meeting further explored options to revive and advance a national catastrophic insurance scheme, to be implemented collaboratively by NAICOM, UNDP, and relevant disaster management agencies, including the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA).

The post NAICOM Targets Market Stability, Recapitalization and ESG Growth Through UNDP Partnership appeared first on Business Today NG.

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Experts Push For Customer-Centric Reforms at BusinessToday Conference

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From left: Dr Julius Odede, Head of Lagos Operations at National Insurance Commission, (NAICOM), presenting appreciation award plaque to Chief  Strategist of MelvinAfrica, Chiamaka Ugo-Obidike, at the just concluded 2026 BusinessToday Annual Conference and Exhibition on Insurance and Pensions held in Lagos , with the Convener of the conference, Mrs. Nkechi Naeche-Esezobor.

Expert in the financial market has called on insurance and pension operators to need for customer-focused innovation and stronger integration across financial services.

The Chief Strategist of MelvinAfrica, Chiamaka Ugo-Obidike, made this call at the 2026 BusinessToday Annual Conference & Exhibition on risk protection and retirement planning, held recently in Lagos.

The MelvinAfrica Chief Strategist, who also delivered the keynote presentation themed “Youth Advantage: Redefining Risk Protection and Retirement Planning for a New Era,” said one of the major challenges in product development is creating solutions without involving the actual end users.

From left: Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Unitrust Insurance Company Limited, Adedayo Arowojolu; Chief  Strategist of MelvinAfrica, Chiamaka Ugo-Obidike, past President of Nigerian Council of Registered Insurance Brokers Babatunde Oguntade at the event.

She stated, “Customers must be part of the product development process to ensure solutions truly meet their needs.”

She further highlighted the importance of data and seamless connectivity across financial platforms, urging stakeholders in the industry to embrace open finance.

According to her, customers should be able to access banking, coverage services, retirement savings, and investment solutions through a single platform, rather than having to navigate multiple applications.

She noted that although the financial services industry is evolving, it must move more quickly to keep pace with a youthful and increasingly digital population.

“Today’s customers do not want to open different apps to access their financial information. The industry must come together to make this work.”

“The biggest advantage we have is the youth. If the system is not ready for them, they will move on without it,” she said.

Earlier, while addressing participants, the convener of the conference, Nkechi Naeche-Esezobor, reflected on how the initiative began. She described its early phase as demanding but highly significant. According to her, the platform first started as an awards-focused initiative before gradually evolving into a forum designed to drive meaningful industry progress.

She explained that this transition was inspired largely by the late Mrs. Tonia Smart, who advised that recognition should go beyond celebration and contribute directly to measurable industry growth. Her recommendation later led to the introduction of conferences and seminars shortly after the platform’s fifth anniversary.

She said the platform has continued to expand under that vision of sustainable impact and sector advancement.

Speaking on the theme of the event, she said placing young people at the centre of sector reforms would help the insurance and pension industries build a stronger, more inclusive financial protection system.

She explained that the theme seeks to modernise insurance and pension products to reflect the realities of today’s youth-driven economy. With the growth of digital work, entrepreneurship, and the gig economy, the conference aims to promote flexible, affordable, and technology-enabled solutions tailored to young Nigerians.

This approach, she noted, is expected to close existing protection gaps and make insurance and pension products more accessible and relevant.

The event featured over 450 delegates, including regulators, business executives, key stakeholders, and young participants who explored practical ways to increase adoption among the youth.

The post Experts Push For Customer-Centric Reforms at BusinessToday Conference appeared first on Business Today NG.

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