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AI could help Nigeria, other developing economies achieve century of progress in decade

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Artificial intelligence (AI) could help developing countries achieve in a decade what might otherwise take a century, according to the World Bank’s report.

The lender said governments must act swiftly to address gaps in electricity, connectivity, skills and institutional quality that could leave them behind.

The World Bank disclosed this in its latest World Development Report 2026, titled ‘The Promise of Artificial Intelligence’.

The report surveyed enterprises’ AI adoption in developing economies, sampling 777 firms in Nigeria.

The World Bank, in its report, urged developing economies to adopt an optimistic mindset, noting that AI could help governments reach billions of underserved people with medical, legal, educational, and agricultural services more quickly.

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“AI could help extend otherwise costly medical, legal, educational, and agricultural services to the underserved billions—doing in a decade what might otherwise take a century,” the report stated.

It noted that jobs in high-income countries are more than three times as likely to be at risk of automation by generative AI as those in low- and middle-income countries, where 4.5 per cent of existing jobs are at risk, compared with 14.2 per cent in high-income countries.

At the same time, 16.2 per cent of jobs in developing economies could see their productivity meaningfully boosted by AI, close to the 18.7 per cent expected in high-income countries.
The greatest promise for developing countries lies not in replacing workers, but in amplifying what they can do, the report said.

“AI has thrown developing economies a lifeline, and they should seize it,” Indermit Gill, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist of the World Bank Group, added in the report.

He explained that developing economies do not need large models or big data centres to reap the benefits of AI adoption.

By adapting small, low-cost AI tools to local conditions, they can bring better medical care, education, judicial services and agricultural extension within reach of millions, the World Bank chief stated.

The report is the first comprehensive assessment of AI’s implications for developing countries, revealing how businesses and governments there have begun to use AI.

It revealed that AI is already helping people, businesses, and governments solve problems, analyse information, improve forecasts and deliver services on a larger scale.

These capabilities are especially valuable in countries where trained professionals, reliable records and public capacity are often limited.

According to the World Bank, AI tools can make it easier for doctors to diagnose patients, farmers to make better crop decisions, and businesses to become more productive.

Governments, too, could use AI to improve tax collection, social programmes, disaster response, healthcare, and education, it added.

The lender said AI could significantly boost the weak growth performance of developing countries before the end of the 2020s while delivering tangible benefits to people.

READ ALSO: Engaging the blackbox-glassbox paradox: Media imperatives in the era of artificial intelligence, By Omoniyi Ibietan

The report added that the opportunity is limited, noting that most developing economies still lack the power, internet access, data, skills and institutions needed to use AI effectively.

The report stated that, without deliberate action, AI could widen disparities between countries, increase inequality within them, concentrate market power, weaken trust in public institutions, and create new risks to safety, rights, and social cohesion.

The report outlines a clear three-stage approach: adopt available tools, tailor them to local circumstances, and gradually progress towards frontier AI development.


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Business

Dangote Refinery to launch $1.5 billion IPO mid-September

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Dangote Refinery will open the order book for its initial public offering to retail investors on 14 September, effectively kickstarting the $1.5 billion public share sale, said to be the continent’s biggest ever, Reuters reported Friday, citing two sources who have close knowledge of the move.

Pricing will commence at any moment now at N525 per share ($0.40), with 4.1 billion shares up for subscription, the report added, noting that the sources spoke on the understanding that their identities will not be disclosed.

The crude processing plant, which holds the distinction of being the world’s largest single-train refinery, will have the latitude to sell 15 per cent of the offer size in addition to the total number of shares up for grabs in the event the transaction is oversubscribed, a source was quoted as saying.

The facility, owned by Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote, is ready to double nameplate capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd).

Financing will be provided by proceeds from both the planned equity sale and a private placement held in July, which raised $2.5 billion from institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. It was 270 per cent oversubscribed.

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Another refinery, the size of the current one at 700,000 bpd, is to be established in the coastal town of Lamu in Kenya, strategically conceived by the Dangote Group as the gateway to the broader East African market.

READ ALSO: Dangote Cement sets date for London capital markets day ahead of LSE listing

Last month, the group offered a 30 per cent stake in the proposed refinery to countries in the region, including Kenya, Rwanda and Ethiopia.

The groundbreaking is scheduled for this month.

Dangote Refinery is exploring a cross-border listing on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the continent’s foremost bourse, following a primary listing in Lagos.

The corporation said in August that a London listing, which its sister company, Dangote Cement, is actively pursuing, is not on the cards, adding that a potential listing in the UK capital is at least three years away.


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Tinubu speaks on Africa’s new credit rating agency

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President Bola Tinubu has welcomed the planned launch of the African Credit Rating Agency (AfCRA), saying Africa needs financial institutions that better understand the continent’s economies and risks.

The African Union has announced that the agency will officially launch on 7 October in Port Louis, Mauritius.

President Tinubu said the development was another step towards building African financial institutions capable of providing more accurate assessments of the continent’s economies.

The president disclosed this in a post on his official X account on Thursday, recalling that he had advocated for an African credit rating agency in a February 2026 Financial Times article.

He said he also raised the issue at the Africa CEO Forum in Kigali, Rwanda, in May, where he called for Africa to develop financial institutions that understand its economic realities.

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“Africa is not asking for favourable ratings. We are asking for fair ratings, grounded in our fundamentals and in the reforms our economies are actually carrying out,” he said.

Why the agency matters

Credit ratings influence how investors assess the risk of lending to countries and companies. They can also affect borrowing costs and the amount of capital available to governments and businesses.

African governments have repeatedly raised concerns about what they describe as an “Africa premium”, under which African countries may face higher borrowing costs because of how investors perceive the continent’s risks.

The three major global rating agencies, including Fitch, Moody’s and S&P Global Ratings, currently play a major role in assessing African sovereign and corporate borrowers.

President Tinubu, in an article published by Financial Times, argued that African economies were paying too much to borrow because international assessments did not always adequately capture their economic realities.

He cited a 2023 United Nations Development Programme estimate that shortcomings in credit ratings cost African countries about $75 billion annually through higher interest payments and foregone lending.

He also argued that commodity-dependent African economies could be particularly exposed to downgrades during global market downturns, even when their reserves, fiscal positions, and debt profiles remained manageable.

The proposed agency is therefore expected to provide an Africa-focused alternative by taking greater account of local economic conditions and reforms.

The African Union has said that AfCRA will operate alongside existing global rating agencies rather than replace them.

Tinubu seeks investor confidence

In his statement Thursday, the president said the establishment of an African rating agency should not be interpreted as a demand for preferential treatment.

READ ALOS: US court case on Tinubu’s past forfeiture is civil, not criminal matter – Presidency

Rather, he said, the agency must provide assessments based on economic fundamentals and the reforms being implemented by African countries.

He pointed to Nigeria’s experience, arguing that improvements in economic data, fiscal transparency and reforms had contributed to recent upgrades by international rating agencies.

However, he acknowledged that the credibility of AfCRA would ultimately depend on the quality and independence of its assessments.

“AfCRA must now earn the confidence of global capital. That confidence will rest on its independence and the rigour of its work,” he noted.

The launch is scheduled for 7 October in Mauritius, with President Tinubu saying he looks forward to the development.


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